← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | uu9978 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) | 83% (5–1, n=6) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $4.1M | $14.8M | $23K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #22 + pinned | PM monthly #894 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (43 of 67 open) | 70% (28 of 40 open) | 56% (56 of 100 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 80% of 5 at avg 61¢, ROI +30% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 40% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 20% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 40% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.