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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | Sickasulu | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) | 55% (138–114, n=252) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.2M | $14.8M | -$146K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #106 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | was PM monthly #996 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (24 of 28 open) | 74% (81 of 110 open) | 58% (53 of 91 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 63% of 221 at avg 57¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 8% (won 24% of 17) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 20% (won 48% of 44) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 57% (won 67% of 126) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 15% (won 91% of 34) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | Sickasulu |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $7 | Yes $993K | — | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | No $335K | — | — |