← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | Shady-Tool | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 48% (14365–15875, n=30240) | 85% (335–58, n=393) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $4.8M | $14.8M | -$23K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #26 + pinned | PM monthly #423 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 73% (59 of 81 open) | 61% (20 of 33 open) | 50% (3 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | Soccer −17 pts, n=18 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 404 at avg 85¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 4% (won 22% of 18) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 7% (won 56% of 27) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 4% (won 53% of 15) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 85% (won 93% of 344) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | Shady-Tool |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | No $335K | — | — |