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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | Pondermint | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 67% (426–206, n=632) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $4.8M | $172K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #95 | PM monthly #397 | PM monthly #52 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 71% (52 of 73 open) | 40% (4 of 10 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | MLB −2 pts, n=89 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 71% of 492 at avg 71¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 13% (won 11% of 65) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 11% (won 36% of 53) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 12% (won 61% of 57) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 64% (won 90% of 317) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | Pondermint | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | No $337K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $78K | — | Yes $2.4K | — |