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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | mostlywrong | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 0% (0–5, n=5) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (20607–20392, n=40999) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $32K | $4.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #723 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 73% (53 of 73 open) | 71% (32 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | — | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | — | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | — | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | — | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | — | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | mostlywrong | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |