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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | locuspm | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 17% (612–2921, n=3533) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (20607–20392, n=40999) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | -$1.5M | $4.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #864 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (26 of 31 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (55 of 77 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL ±0 pts, n=70 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 13% of 1003 at avg 13¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 87% (won 1% of 876) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 0% (won 40% of 5) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 1% (won 67% of 9) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 11% (won 98% of 113) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | locuspm | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | No $337K | — |