← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | lava-lava | ndb1 | RanaAmariPredicts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (524–18, n=542) | 51% (210–202, n=412) | 58% (419–300, n=719) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $1.2M | $4.7M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #157 | PM monthly #908 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (36 of 44 open) | 63% (38 of 60 open) | 70% (57 of 81 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | Finance −17 pts, n=11 | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 49% of 276 at avg 45¢, ROI +2% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 34% (won 9% of 93) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 23% (won 48% of 64) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 20% (won 67% of 54) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 24% (won 92% of 65) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | lava-lava | ndb1 | RanaAmariPredicts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $31K | Yes $9.8K | — | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $425K | — | No $350K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | — | Yes $12K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $49 | Yes $351 | — | — |