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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | lastminwin | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 56% (14–11, n=25) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $267K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 69% (40 of 58 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 52% (16 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 73% of 15 at avg 46¢, ROI +39% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 33% (won 20% of 5) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 27% (won 100% of 4) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | lastminwin | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $75K | No $15K | — | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $3.5K | — | — | Warriors $510 |