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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | lastminwin | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (581–722, n=1303) | 56% (14–11, n=25) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1127–1147, n=2274) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $273K | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #95 | PM monthly #50 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (23 of 26 open) | 68% (39 of 57 open) | 69% (54 of 78 open) | 56% (10 of 18 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 73% of 15 at avg 46¢, ROI +39% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 33% (won 20% of 5) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 27% (won 100% of 4) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | lastminwin | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $77K | No $15K | — | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |