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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | morito181 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 69% (525–240, n=765) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $5.6M | $1.1M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #133 + pinned | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (39 of 57 open) | no open consensus position | 77% (114 of 148 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 22% (won 6% of 202) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 43% of 49) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 67% (won 96% of 612) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | morito181 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $585K | — | Yes $14K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $84 | — | No $35K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $19K | — | Yes $1.7K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.1K | — | No $20 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $376K | — | Yes $15K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $55K | — | No $16K | — |