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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | lucianow34 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 57% (625–479, n=1104) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $3.3M | $16K | $3.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #850 | PM monthly #60 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (29 of 36 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −4 pts, n=26 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 60% of 1039 at avg 53¢, ROI +4% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 24% of 55) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 34% (won 44% of 351) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 69% of 508) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 12% (won 86% of 125) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | lucianow34 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus T1 | — | — | T1 $3 | Bilibili Gaming $744K |