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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | lastminwin | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 56% (14–11, n=25) | 49% (1129–1155, n=2284) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $5.3M | $275K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #49 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (39 of 56 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 73% of 15 at avg 46¢, ROI +39% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 33% (won 20% of 5) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 27% (won 100% of 4) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | lastminwin | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $76K | — | No $15K | — |