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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | soapbubbles | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) | 86% (18–3, n=21) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $5.6M | $14.8M | $22K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #894 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (17 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (144 of 245 open) | 50% (8 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 82% of 17 at avg 77¢, ROI +16% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 18% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 71% (won 92% of 12) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | soapbubbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $30K | — | Pelicans $125 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $19K | — | Pelicans $135 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $880 | — | Bucks $765 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $323 | — | Pelicans $143 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $357 | — | Grizzlies $123 | — |