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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1UnreasonableAwareness
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)no settled market
Consensus PnL$9.4M$5.6M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #3PM monthly #28 + pinnedwas PM monthly #182
Sides with the consensus52% (12 of 23 open)no open consensus position56% (76 of 136 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1UnreasonableAwareness
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $30K—Pelicans $125—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $19K—Pelicans $135—
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $323—Pelicans $143—