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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | NM-P | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 83% (5437–1150, n=6587) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $5.3M | $47K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #509 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (23 of 27 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (48 of 70 open) | 61% (39 of 64 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 256) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 100% of 859) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 22% (won 100% of 884) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 51% (won 100% of 2087) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | NM-P | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Warriors $3.5K | — | Heat $279 | Warriors $510 |
| Spread: UTSA (-6.5) same side · consensus UTSA | — | — | UTSA $1.3K | UTSA $1.4K |
| Spread: UTSA (-7.5) same side · consensus Florida Atlantic | — | — | Florida Atlantic $287 | Florida Atlantic $736 |
| Spread: James Madison (-13.5) same side · consensus James Madison | — | — | Southern Miss $172 | Southern Miss $832 |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $169 | Under $338 |