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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677KaczkaRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–665, n=1225)53% (10–9, n=19)52% (425–397, n=822)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$5.6M$13K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #1was PM monthly #997PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)no open consensus position60% (3 of 5 open)67% (117 of 175 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Esports +28 pts n=415, ROI +23%
  • NBA +29 pts n=40, ROI +25%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=83, ROI +17%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%84% of 546 at avg 56¢, ROI +22%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 68% of 25)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 72% of 121)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)65% (won 73% of 11)62% (won 88% of 340)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)11% (won 92% of 60)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677KaczkaRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Alexander Zverev
——Alexander Zverev $65Alexander Zverev $32K