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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjeremyclarndb1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)44% (47–60, n=107)65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$13K$4.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #871PM monthly #96
Sides with the consensus61% (17 of 28 open)0% (0 of 2 open)74% (34 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NBA −2 pts, n=55NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%45% of 105 at avg 48¢, ROI +3%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)2% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)69% (won 40% of 72)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)20% (won 43% of 21)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)10% (won 90% of 10)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjeremyclarndb1
76ers vs. Pistons
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $195K76ers $10K—