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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | jeremyclar | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 44% (55–71, n=126) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (20929–20600, n=41529) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | -$4.5K | $3.2M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #871 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (24 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (81 of 111 open) | 70% (32 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −2 pts, n=55 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 45% of 105 at avg 48¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 2% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 69% (won 40% of 72) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 20% (won 43% of 21) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 10% (won 90% of 10) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | jeremyclar | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $7 | — | Yes $993K | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |