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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | henryttok | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | no settled market | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | — | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #983 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (12 of 23 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 89% (16 of 18 open) | 56% (84 of 150 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 0% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI −41% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 0% | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 100% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 0% | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | henryttok | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $30K | — | — | Pelicans $125 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $19K | — | — | Pelicans $135 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Central Michigan $4.2K | Eastern Michigan $2.0K |
| Spread: UMass (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | — | — | Ball State $2.8K | UMass $1.2K |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $2.5K | UMass $1.0K |
| Spread: UMass (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $900 | UMass $663 |
| Spread: UMass (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $480 | UMass $457 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $323 | — | — | Pelicans $143 |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $161 | Central Michigan $50 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Central Michigan $6 | Eastern Michigan $4 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-14.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Central Michigan $4.9K | Central Michigan $3.3K |
| Spread: Ball State (-1.5) same side · consensus UMass | — | — | UMass $3.1K | UMass $1.1K |
| Spread: Ball State (-2.5) same side · consensus UMass | — | — | UMass $3.0K | UMass $804 |