← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | spartacray | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (22–16, n=38) | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 55% (216–179, n=395) | 89% (418–52, n=470) |
| Consensus PnL | $837K | $430K | $290K | $2.1K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #996 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (7 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (91 of 143 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | spartacray |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $126K | — | Nuggets $5.0K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $16K | — | Nuggets $19K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $24K | — | Thunder $4.6K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Trail Blazers $676 | — | Thunder $4.3K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $133 | — | Thunder $3.7K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $2 | — | Nuggets $49 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Lakers $3.3K | — | Lakers $20K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $468 | — | Grizzlies $1.3K | — |