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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | frgdrgdrgdg3434 | joseph00677 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 80% (4–1, n=5) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 50% (15092–15111, n=30203) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $21K | $5.6M | $3.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #995 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #58 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (18 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 52% (71 of 136 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 4 at avg 61¢, ROI +37% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 0% | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 8% (won 60% of 874) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 75% (won 100% of 3) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 0% | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | frgdrgdrgdg3434 | joseph00677 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $29K | — | — | Pelicans $4 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $17K | — | — | Pelicans $4 |
| Hawks vs. Wizards opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Hawks $2.8K | — | — | Wizards $6 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.0K | — | — | Yes $153 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $330K | — | — | Grizzlies $3 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $195K | — | — | Pistons $618 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $22K | — | — | Yes $117 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | — | Yes $215 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.6K | — | — | Yes $69 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $516 | — | — | Yes $29 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $28 | — | — | Yes $41 |