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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | RN1 | waierma | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 43% (11774–15353, n=27127) | 48% (19652–21409, n=41061) | 45% (107–132, n=239) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | -$9.5M | $14.9M | $30K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #35 + pinned | PM monthly #784 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 54% (14 of 26 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 72 at avg 70¢, ROI +10% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 11% (won 38% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 11% (won 13% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 13% (won 56% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 65% (won 96% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | RN1 | waierma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Over $1.7K | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie same side · consensus Cameron Norrie | — | James Duckworth $1.6K | James Duckworth $417 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | Over $360 | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann same side · consensus Alex Michelsen | — | Yannick Hanfmann $144 | Yannick Hanfmann $885 | — |