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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | tian888 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (28–21, n=49) | 50% (9–9, n=18) | 74% (1379–477, n=1856) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $758K | $435K | $296K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #41 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #807 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (7 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (127 of 190 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | College Basketball −3 pts, n=123 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 31 at avg 52¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 10 at avg 48¢, ROI +54% | 48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 5% of 159) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 100% of 15) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 24% (won 43% of 119) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 100% of 14) | 30% (won 100% of 3) | 14% (won 61% of 70) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 100% of 2) | 10% (won 100% of 1) | 29% (won 95% of 142) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | tian888 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: 76ers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $101K | — | 76ers $640 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $26K | — | 76ers $181 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-6.5) same side · consensus 76ers | Raptors $680 | — | Raptors $284 | — |