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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | esticamos | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 53% (163–146, n=309) | 43% (11761–15331, n=27092) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $23K | -$9.4M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #867 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #110 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 71% (67 of 95 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 69% of 270 at avg 66¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 19% (won 18% of 50) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 196) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 8% (won 55% of 22) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 18% (won 40% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 14% (won 59% of 39) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 58% of 348) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 59% (won 90% of 159) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 46% (won 94% of 710) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | esticamos | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $427K | — | — | No $351K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $308K | — | — | Yes $12K |