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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankduratio12Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)48% (31–33, n=64)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$14K$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #867PM monthly #13
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)no open consensus position68% (267 of 392 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%89% of 65 at avg 56¢, ROI +4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)14% (won 78% of 9)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)29% (won 79% of 19)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)29% (won 95% of 19)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)28% (won 100% of 18)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.