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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | dubdubdub2 | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | no settled market | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (12761–14165, n=26926) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $165K | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (44 of 64 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 66% (78 of 118 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 3 at avg 91¢, ROI +10% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 0% | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 0% | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 0% | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 100% (won 100% of 3) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | dubdubdub2 | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $46K | Yes $185K | — | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $28K | No $59K | — | — |