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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankdsoperativeFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)56% (251–194, n=445)52% (6451–6050, n=12501)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$34K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #812PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)84% (21 of 25 open)73% (119 of 164 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Weather −2 pts, n=10Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%85% of 268 at avg 68¢, ROI +25%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)8% (won 36% of 22)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)10% (won 75% of 28)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)29% (won 83% of 78)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)52% (won 95% of 140)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.