← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | denizz | RanaAmariPredicts | RememberAmalek | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (441–15, n=456) | 70% (172–74, n=246) | no settled market | 73% (388–147, n=535) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $2.3M | — | $824K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #151 | PM monthly #908 | PM monthly #153 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (35 of 46 open) | 90% (26 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (85 of 155 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Politics −2 pts, n=16 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=10 |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7% | — | 61% of 525 at avg 50¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 26% (won 6% of 63) | — | 37% (won 10% of 193) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 12% (won 57% of 30) | — | 13% (won 67% of 66) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 13% (won 66% of 32) | — | 14% (won 88% of 74) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 49% (won 96% of 120) | — | 37% (won 99% of 192) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | denizz | RanaAmariPredicts | RememberAmalek |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $28K | — | — | Yes $75K |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $40K | — | Yes $549 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $32K | — | No $6 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $12K | — | Yes $115 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.3K | — | Yes $2.6K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $20K | — | — | Yes $245 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $11K | — | Yes $1.6K |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.7K | — | No $4.8K |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.1K | — | No $1.1K |