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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (5–3, n=8) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $72K | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #398 | PM monthly #95 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 71% (52 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 7 at avg 71¢, ROI +13% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 0% | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 71% (won 100% of 5) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $53K | Yes $84K | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | No $337K |