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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRememberAmalekRUDY2323
Record (consensus markets)96% (291–13, n=304)70% (143–62, n=205)no settled market
Consensus PnL$8.4M$494K—
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #149PM monthly #967
Sides with the consensus83% (34 of 41 open)54% (83 of 155 open)80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%——
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)——
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)——
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)——
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)——

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankRememberAmalekRUDY2323
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $41KYes $75K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $18Yes $5.7K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28KYes $383—