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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankclassifiedRememberAmalekRUDY2323
Record (consensus markets)96% (291–13, n=304)27% (30–82, n=112)70% (143–62, n=205)no settled market
Consensus PnL$8.4M$783K$494K—
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #334PM monthly #149PM monthly #967
Sides with the consensus83% (34 of 41 open)68% (19 of 28 open)54% (83 of 154 open)67% (4 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%———
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)———
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)———
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)———
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)———

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankclassifiedRememberAmalekRUDY2323
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $41K—Yes $75K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $18Yes $5.7K
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $225Yes $1.6K—
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $14No $28—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28K—Yes $383—
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $469No $4.8K—
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $12Yes $549—