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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | verifly | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) | 34% (131–254, n=385) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $14.8M | -$297K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #825 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (27 of 32 open) | 55% (40 of 73 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Esports −1 pts, n=392 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 35% of 397 at avg 36¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 31% (won 21% of 122) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 56% (won 41% of 221) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 13% (won 42% of 53) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 0% (won 0% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | verifly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $292K | Jaguars $5.2K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $194K | Jaguars $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $837 | Jaguars $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $293 | Ravens $1.1K | — |