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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | TheMathGod | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 47% (14329–15967, n=30296) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 63% (114–68, n=182) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $14.8M | $4.4M | -$42K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #855 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (79 of 111 open) | 53% (23 of 43 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | MLB −11 pts, n=64 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 63% of 179 at avg 64¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% | 2% (won 33% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 8% (won 47% of 15) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 59% (won 53% of 105) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% | 31% (won 86% of 56) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.