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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 70% (204–89, n=293) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $14.8M | $4.4M | $61K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #212 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (77 of 114 open) | 59% (72 of 123 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Crypto ±0 pts, n=133 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 76% of 328 at avg 73¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% | 12% (won 24% of 38) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 11% (won 44% of 36) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 9% (won 66% of 29) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% | 69% (won 91% of 225) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.4K | — | — | No $36K |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | No $10K | Yes $1.4K | — | — |