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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| BreakTheBank | RN1 | ryou999 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) | 34% (10–19, n=29) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $14.8M | $33K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #806 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (77 of 114 open) | 59% (67 of 113 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 42% of 26 at avg 40¢, ROI +12% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 46% (won 8% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 27% (won 57% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 19% (won 80% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 8% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | ryou999 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | No $10K | Yes $1.4K | — |