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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRN1SilentShark
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)47% (14240–15745, n=29985)60% (135–90, n=225)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$14.8M$27K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #831
Sides with the consensus81% (26 of 32 open)61% (83 of 136 open)40% (2 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2588)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)22% (won 94% of 5673)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)35% (won 99% of 9163)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8536)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankRN1SilentShark
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.3KUnder $2
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $450Bucks $91—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $11Yes $9
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $367Timberwolves $662—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $750No $4
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $122Raptors $499—