← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Pondermint | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 67% (423–206, n=629) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $173K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #389 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (24 of 28 open) | 50% (5 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||
| Weakest topic | — | MLB −2 pts, n=87 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 485 at avg 71¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 11% of 63) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 11% (won 35% of 52) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 12% (won 63% of 56) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 65% (won 90% of 314) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Pondermint |
|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $78K | Yes $2.4K |