← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Newshound | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 71% (692–276, n=968) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $65K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #790 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (78 of 113 open) | 38% (6 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 72% of 968 at avg 59¢, ROI +9% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 23% (won 23% of 218) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 13% (won 65% of 124) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 17% (won 76% of 169) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 47% (won 95% of 457) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Newshound |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $624 | Yes $675 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $35K | Yes $53 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $32K | Yes $2.3K |