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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | MTD | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 71% (249–101, n=350) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 48% (14112–15590, n=29702) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $71K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #708 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (26 of 33 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 68% (60 of 88 open) | 57% (32 of 56 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | MLB −2 pts, n=56 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 266 at avg 73¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 14% (won 8% of 36) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 8% (won 33% of 21) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 10% (won 48% of 27) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 68% (won 92% of 182) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | MTD | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $1 | — | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |