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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | L.Acosta | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $9.1K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #967 | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (28 of 35 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 72% (53 of 74 open) | 55% (42 of 76 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 2 at avg 46¢, ROI +56% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 0% | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 100% (won 100% of 2) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 0% | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 0% | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | L.Acosta | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $175K | — | — | Jaguars $2.6K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $601 | — | — | Jaguars $3.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.3K | — | — | Jaguars $174 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $3.5K | — | — | Warriors $510 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $287 | — | — | Ravens $2.8K |