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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankKaczkaprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (432–406, n=838)50% (1106–1119, n=2225)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$13K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #997PM monthly #46PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (26 of 34 open)75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position59% (20 of 34 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Esports +28 pts n=426, ROI +23%
  • NBA +29 pts n=40, ROI +25%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=83, ROI +17%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%84% of 559 at avg 56¢, ROI +22%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)4% (won 68% of 25)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 72% of 125)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)62% (won 88% of 347)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)11% (won 92% of 62)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankKaczkaprimmRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Alexandra Eala $172—Alexandra Eala $33K