← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Kaczka | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (549–663, n=1212) | 52% (423–395, n=818) | 65% (876–462, n=1338) | 50% (14961–15011, n=29972) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $14K | $4.2M | $3.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #60 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (28 of 41 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 79% (19 of 24 open) | 57% (80 of 140 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 84% of 546 at avg 56¢, ROI +22% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 5% (won 68% of 25) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 8% (won 60% of 899) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 72% of 121) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 21% (won 87% of 2444) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 62% (won 88% of 340) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 39% (won 95% of 4418) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 11% (won 92% of 60) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 99% of 3709) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.