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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | JudgeLance | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 67% (33–16, n=49) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 47% (14240–15745, n=29985) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | -$36K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #500 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (28 of 35 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (55 of 76 open) | 62% (111 of 178 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | NBA −16 pts, n=13 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 60% of 68 at avg 60¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 6% (won 50% of 4) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 71% (won 54% of 48) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 22% (won 87% of 15) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | JudgeLance | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Grizzlies $14K | — | — | Thunder $889 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Jazz $422 | — | — | Mavericks $239 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $50 | — | — | Thunder $477 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | No $337K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $367 | — | — | Timberwolves $192 |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $450 | — | — | Raptors $37 |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Raptors $122 | — | — | Raptors $133 |