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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | J-E-R | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 44% (164–208, n=372) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 47% (14240–15745, n=29985) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $42K | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #418 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (22 of 27 open) | 89% (65 of 73 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (56 of 88 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −1 pts, n=78 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 28% of 377 at avg 27¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 70% (won 4% of 263) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 6% (won 70% of 23) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 20% (won 92% of 76) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | J-E-R | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $77K | Yes $2.3K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $2.4K | No $22 | — | — |