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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | HugolinoXavier | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 27% (10–27, n=37) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $9.4K | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #684 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (35 of 45 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 53% (69 of 131 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=10 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 36% of 33 at avg 28¢, ROI +10% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 55% (won 17% of 18) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 33% (won 55% of 11) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 9% (won 67% of 3) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | HugolinoXavier | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $632K | — | — | No $19K |