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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | OxPredict | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (28–21, n=49) | 54% (304–264, n=568) | 53% (9–8, n=17) | 44% (4–5, n=9) |
| Consensus PnL | $758K | $309K | -$3.6K | $392K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #569 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (4 of 10 open) | 69% (71 of 103 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 163 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 60% of 15 at avg 47¢, ROI −12% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 0% of 2) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 29% (won 100% of 48) | 20% (won 33% of 3) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 62% (won 100% of 101) | 67% (won 80% of 10) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 13) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | OxPredict | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: 76ers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $71K | 76ers $4.7K | — | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Raptors $13K | 76ers $11K | — | — |