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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 25% (31–95, n=126) | 49% (1129–1155, n=2284) | 48% (14355–15860, n=30215) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $151K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #365 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 54% (25 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 82% of 38 at avg 37¢, ROI +15% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 42% (won 63% of 16) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 32% (won 92% of 12) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 100% of 6) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 11% (won 100% of 4) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | HerbertAppreciator | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $37K | Yes $5.8K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $76K | Yes $140K | — | — |