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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Hashbrown | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 90% (588–64, n=652) | 65% (870–459, n=1329) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $148K | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #286 | PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (39 of 56 open) | 100% (7 of 7 open) | 71% (25 of 35 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −14 pts, n=26 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 93% of 655 at avg 93¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 2% (won 0% of 10) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 0% | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 2% (won 56% of 16) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 96% (won 96% of 629) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.