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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Hashbrown | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 90% (592–63, n=655) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $148K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #357 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (157 of 189 open) | 100% (8 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −14 pts, n=26 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 93% of 655 at avg 93¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 2% (won 0% of 10) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 2% (won 56% of 16) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 96% (won 96% of 629) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Hashbrown |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $224K | Yes $531 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $27K | Yes $7 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $291K | Yes $77 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $185K | Yes $76K |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $35K | Yes $145 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.3K | Yes $37 |