← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (574–717, n=1291) | 39% (3362–5151, n=8513) | 50% (1107–1127, n=2234) | 47% (14184–15686, n=29870) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | -$465K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #244 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 67% (454 of 674 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (11 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $407K | Yes $344 | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $75K | No $4.6K | — | — |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | No $372 | — | — |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12K | Yes $8 | — | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25K | Yes $79 | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | Yes $14 | — | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.3K | Yes $120 | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $2.4K | No $70 | — | — |